★ Government Action
DOJ drops Polymarket probe, clearing path for US reentry
Corporate FavorsCrypto DeregulationTrump Family Business Dealings
Filed July 2025
★ The Brief
What happened
DOJ closed the investigation without charges. The probe began with a November 2024 FBI raid on CEO Shayne Coplan's home, over alleged violations of a 2022 CFTC settlement barring Polymarket from U.S. bets.
Who enabled it
Who benefits
Deal or steal?
In July 2025, Bloomberg reported that the US Department of Justice ended its investigation into Polymarket — a crypto prediction market — without bringing any charges. The probe had been opened in November 2024 when the FBI raided the home of Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan over alleged violations of a 2022 CFTC settlement that barred the platform from accepting US bets. The closure of the investigation cleared the way for Polymarket to return to the US market. The Trump administration has broadly instructed prosecutors to deprioritize certain crypto-related enforcement actions.
Actors
Who pushed it · 1Who initiated, paid, or pushed the action.
U.S. Department of JusticeEnded its investigation into Polymarket without filing charges, removing a major legal barrier to the platform's return to the US market.
U.S. Department of Justice has paid into Trump’s orbit:
Beneficiaries
Who gained · 2Who stood to gain.
- Shayne Coplan
Polymarket CEO who had been the subject of an FBI device seizure in October 2024; received no criminal charges following closure of the DOJ investigation.
PolymarketHad its DOJ probe dropped without charges, enabling it to pursue reentry into the US prediction market after years of exclusion under a CFTC settlement.
Further reading
- ★ Private ActionAugust 20251789 Capital invests in Polymarket, places partner Trump Jr. on board
- ★ Government ActionJuly 2025Trump's commodities regulator closes Polymarket betting probe
- ★ Government ActionMarch 2025Polymarket CEO attends Trump White House crypto summit while under federal investigation
- ★ Private ActionJanuary 2025Kalshi names Trump Jr. strategic advisor week before father's inauguration
- ★ Government ActionOctober 2025Trump DOJ drops Roger Ver tax case for $49.9M, no guilty plea
- ★ Private ActionOctober 2025Truth Social launches prediction market with Crypto.com affiliate